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Guru Insights from Q3 2011

Posted on February 4th, 2012

One of the reasons we look at 13f filings is to attempt to copy those we consider to be good stock pickers.  And the ultimate stock pickers have to be the hedge fund managers.  Their job is to invest large amounts of capital with the goal of maximizing return while minimizing risk.   By comparing multiple hedge fund managers to see which picks are most commonly held you can find the stocks with the highest conviction.

At Whalewisdom you can use the Guru report to generate a list of high conviction picks among actively managed funds.Running a Guru report for Q3 of 2011 and selecting a holdings threshold of 5% gives us the below list of consensus picks.  Few of the picks are surprising though there did seem to be a pickup in the willingness to hold previously “risky” financials.  There’s also an indication that the professionals felt there was more growth to be had in some big multiple stocks such as Apple, Priceline, and Amazon.

 

 

Top Conviction Stock picks
Stock
Ticker
Consensus:
% of Guru’s
holding this stock
Stock represents over 5%
of Guru’s total holdings
AAPL
50%
  • ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEM (7.52%)
  • BLUE RIDGE CAPITAL HOL (9.35%)
  • COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC (15.2%)
  • JANA PARTNERS LLC (5.32%)
  • KINGDON CAPITAL MANAGE (9.62%)
  • KLEINHEINZ CAPITAL PAR (11.42%)
  • LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC (6.53%)
  • TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMEN (13.4%)
  • VIKING GLOBAL INVESTOR (5.01%)
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (8.44%)
C
40%
  • FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANA (7.92%)
  • PERSHING SQUARE CAPITA (11.12%)
WFC
30%
  • BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC (14.76%)
  • PABRAI MOHNISH (12.81%)
GOOG
30%
  • COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC (7.02%)
  • EMINENCE CAPITAL LLC (6.23%)
  • JANA PARTNERS LLC (5.22%)
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (6.7%)
JPM
25%
USB
22.5%
  • VIKING GLOBAL INVESTOR (6.68%)
PCLN
22.5%
  • PAR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (17.35%)
PFE
22.5%
  • INSTITUTIONAL CAPITAL (6.3%)
QCOM
20%
  • COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC (5.8%)
COF
20%
AMZN
20%
  • BLUE RIDGE CAPITAL HOL (8.58%)
  • COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC (9.62%)
  • TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMEN (6.22%)
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (5.09%)
VOD
17.5%
UAL
17.5%
  • APPALOOSA MANAGEMENT L (5.51%)
  • GMT CAPITAL CORP (5.18%)
  • PAR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (12.43%)
RKT
17.5%
OXY
17.5%
  • RELATIONAL INVESTORS L (10.75%)
NWSA
17.5%
  • ETON PARK CAPITAL MANA (7.52%)
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (6.53%)
MON
17.5%
  • KLEINHEINZ CAPITAL PAR (5.76%)
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (6.13%)
LYB
17.5%
LVSXP
17.5%
EBAY
17.5%
  • ETON PARK CAPITAL MANA (5.11%)
CVS
17.5%
  • RELATIONAL INVESTORS L (10.84%)
CSCO
17.5%
BAC
17.5%
  • FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANA (7.98%)
  • PABRAI MOHNISH (18.72%)
BIDU
17.5%
  • COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC (6.38%)
APC
17.5%
V
15%
  • CONATUS CAPITAL MANAGE (5.72%)
VIAB
15%
  • ETON PARK CAPITAL MANA (15%)
  • TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMEN (6.6%)

Filers Used for this report:

This entry was posted on Saturday, February 4th, 2012 at 6:59 am and is filed under Q32011, Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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