Posted on September 20th, 2021
Carvana Co. (CVNA) saw continued growth over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 and rising by approximately 271.8% compared to the S&P’s gain of about 38.5%. Despite the stock’s continued growth and positive second-quarter results, hedge funds were selling as institutions added.
Carvana is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. As most of its business involves contactless online sales, the company has benefited from the coronavirus pandemic in many ways. Consumers’ preferences toward remote interaction and shopping have changed during the pandemic. Carvana allows them to browse, purchase and finance through a convenient online platform. Consumers may then choose between getting their vehicle delivered directly to them or picking it up at one of Carvana’s automated car vending machines. Also, the pandemic has created significant supply chain disruptions, leaving new car dealerships with minimal inventory and creating more demand for used cars from both dealerships and companies like Carvana.
Mixed Results from Hedge Funds and Institutions
Carvana saw mixed results during the second quarter activity. The aggregate 13F shares held by hedge funds decreased to about 42.8 million from 42.9 million, a mild decrease of approximately 0.1%. Of the hedge funds, 22 created new positions, 59 added to an existing holding, 31 exited, and 33 reduced their stakes. In contrast to hedge funds, institutions were buying. Overall, institutions increased their aggregate holdings by about 0.1%, to approximately 93.2 million from 93.1 million. The 13F metrics between 2017 and 2021 are a good reflection of Carvana’s rising stock price and demonstrate the potential for the stock to continue an upward trend.
Two-Year Forecast has Neutral Feel
Analysts expect to see an initial decline in earnings per share, though eventually earnings and revenue are predicted to continue forward on a positive trend through to 2022. The company is forecast to have a loss of -$1.05 in December 2021, which is expected to then improve to -$0.33 by December 2022. Year-over-year estimated increases could bring over $12 billion in revenue by 2021 and $15.6 billion in revenue by 2022.
Citigroup analyst Nicholas Jones was bullish on the stock, citing better than expected results in the second quarter. Jones raised the firm’s price target on Carvana to $405 from $375 and kept a Buy rating on shares. Chris Pierce of Needham & Co. was also enthusiastic about the stock and raised the firm’s price target to $421 from $400. Pierce noted that the pace at which Carvana’s shares have been gaining ground has accelerated, and he maintained a Buy rating on the stock.
Carvana continues to build its customer base and show growth, benefitting from the unique environment created from the pandemic. Analysts appear bullish about this e-commerce company, raising price targets as demand for used vehicles increases. Future revenue estimates are also encouraging for investors.